I literally have the exact same question pretty much, as I also have an Eli Lancer NP3, and with her improved Sadistic Charisma and augmented NP, I feel like she actually does stand up just fine to Jailter.
I'll wait for someone to answer since I also had this inquiry, but I do think you brought up one of the defining differences yourself, which is that Bathory is going to give better offensive support to the party, while Lily may edge her on raw damage because of Ephemeral Dream being such a strong buster buff. I think both lancers have a support niche, but Liz's is for offense and Santa Lily's is a little more geared towards healing between her healing skill and her NP.
If I had to guess, I feel like Lily is still gonna edge it on NP damage, since Liz's charisma double buffs other females, but not herself. So I think Ephemeral Dream's 55% buff at max wins for sure (especially for you since it's NP5 vs NP2 with the same multiplier, with my Liz at NP3 I think it's even closer). I do think Liz edges her overall though because of a better offensive support skillset and her guts. In fact, I think they'd go very well together, since Liz can double buff Jailter and they can clear archer waves in conjunction when required.
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