If you're not including the first 136 ap you'll use, and also not counting the ap you regain over time, your apples will give you 8160 ap. Each Christmas box will take around 304 ap to clear given an average stocking/run of 105. This means you're closer to around 26-27 boxes. This is, of course, if you're talking about the christmas 2018 event and not the weekly santa alter one. I did some planning of my own, and despite only having 39 apples and 132 ap, I should be able to get 32+ boxes after adding up some (probably missed a lot) of the apples I'll get between now and the event.
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