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Do you think that your luck is attached to your account?

I recently made a second account, just to screw around, and so far, the second account seems way luckier than my main one.

I made my main account at beginning of the summer event, and I've used every ticket and almost every quartz that I've gained since then, and I have summoned 0 SSR servants, 1 SSR CE (Pirates Party), and 3 non-tutorial SR servants (Kiyo Lancer, Anne Bonny Archer, and Anne Bonny Rider), and my tutorial servant was Elizabeth.

I made the second account like the day before the Prisma event started. Even the tutorial roll was luckier, since I got Heracles. Then since it was the last day of the summer banner, I went ahead and did a 10-roll on it with my Fuyuki quartz, and got Martha Ruler as well a Limited/Zero Over CE to toss on Herc. I've used whatever handful of summon tickets I've gotten so far on the Illya banner (maybe 10 tickets or so?) and so far I've gotten Astolfo, another Limited/Zero Over, Illya, and Medb. So out of maybe 10 summons I got a nice SSR CE, two SSR servants, and a SR servant. And just now, as I was writing this, I decided that my sample size was too small, so I just reached over and did a 10-roll on the story banner and got a Mordred as well.

Neither account is particularly old, so my sample size of summons on both of them is pretty small, but so far the difference in luck seems pretty uncanny. Has anyone else who plays multiple accounts noticed something similar? I know that this is a far fetched theory, but maybe DW's random number generator gets seeded by something that is specific to the accounts or something.

Asked by Fear3d6 years 9 months ago
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Answers

by zer0z 6 years 9 months ago

Well, there does definitely seem to be cases where some people (accounts) are way luckier than others, but it's hard to say whether that's just luck or something in the game's programming. I wouldn't think that DW just attach better chances on certain accounts for no reason though, so unless there's some solid proof, I don't think it's a safe assumption to make.

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Well, I didn't mean that they *intentionally* program it so that one account is luckier than the other. It's just that it is literally impossible for a computer to generate a random number. A computer can only follow precise instructions, so there is no way to tell it to do something random. Any random number generator is actually "pseudo-random number generator". You basically give the generator a "seed" (a starting number), and then you have the computer do a bunch of math on that number to transform it into something vastly different. So if you can figure out what the generator uses as a seed, and you can figure out what math it does, you can actually predict every number that it will generate.

If DW is using a number that is specific to your account or your device as part of the seed, then it's not impossible for one account to be programmatically luckier than the other. It would depend on the algorithms that they chose to use. But it's really easy to accidentally introduce some type of bias into your code when you're dealing with random numbers, and not all programmers really have a PHD in probability in statistics or anything like that, so it's not impossible for those types of things to go unnoticed.

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Well that's not unreasonable, but if that really is the case there wouldn't be any reliable way to tell. But yeah, that's a possibility for sure.

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by Neil 6 years 9 months ago

I don't think that's luck. When you make a second account it's experience that shows usually. There are fewer mistakes and thus the situations where chance is a factor are approached much better and with the correct amount of caution (when a complete noob rolls they have no idea what's good or how rolls even work for that matter having never done it ingame. Nor do they have any concept of how valuable quartz is and how hard it is to get)

Since the luck is so skewed though and has such a high variance it makes more sense to make multiple accounts though to find the one account that gets EX luck fastest (All accounts get EX luck some time or the other) and stick with that one. It's difficult to do and DW tries to stop it but it is doable.

I do also get the feeling that new players in general get heightened odds when rolling to keep them playing. It would make sense as they'd believe in some part that their playing had been validated by seeing something with a gold lining.

Like my first 10 roll I got Broskandar that was on rateup at the time. I didn't get so lucky as your second account (congrats btw) to get 3 SSRs that quickly but then I wasn't in a terrible hurry to get SSRs and more was greedy for waifus

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Thanks! It's too bad that they're all low tier, super niche SSRs, otherwise I'd consider swapping and using this one as a main. Though if this account really does continue to be more lucky, I might have to switch anyway.

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Multiple accounts serve two purposes. They ameliorate the odds better in your favor (although they're still too poor to be considered statistically anything more than gambling). And the second bigger thing extra accounts do would be to help with the itch to roll. I don't keep any (although I feel the itch all the fucking time!) but I do admit that I watch other people's vods of them rolling (it doesn't help at all lol).

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by Neil 6 years 9 months ago

Dang I just realized I agreed with you. So yea I do think the luck does come attached to the account. That's my opinion though. Can't confirm it without actually seeing how their rng program works

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Lol. I guess that we'll have to see whether or not it keeps raining SSRs on my new account, and whether or not my main account keeps pulling up nothing but Boudicas.

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Can confirm my main account has trash luck(no set) but my apt account which I made a week after the first has Mordred rider Tama lancer and also Mebd and Hercules but my main has no remarkable servents.

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